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Autumn Budget 2024 - Trick or Treat?

Oct 31

4 min read

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The Autumn Budget has introduced several policies aimed at supporting economic growth while tightening public finances. For exporters, the implications are mixed, with some policies potentially aiding international trade efforts and others presenting challenges that may impact competitiveness. Here’s an analysis of how these budget measures could help or hinder UK exporters:


Positive Measures for Exporters


1. Enhanced Export Development Guarantee (EDG)

The government’s extension of the Export Development Guarantee is a positive step for UK exporters. This measure, designed to provide larger businesses with financing options, now includes more flexibility and expanded eligibility criteria. These changes help exporters by easing cash flow constraints and enabling investment in overseas growth . For small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) facing capital challenges, this expanded guarantee could open doors to higher-volume transactions and competitive financing rates.

2. Investment in Export Support Programs

Funding increases for export support programs, particularly through the Department for Business and Trade (DBT), are set to benefit companies looking to expand internationally. The DBT’s Export Academy has received additional backing to provide training, mentorship, and market intelligence for new and developing exporters. This investment reflects the government’s commitment to educating UK businesses on effective exporting strategies and addressing skill gaps in international trade .

3. Simplification of Customs Processes

Reducing customs complexities has been a longstanding challenge for exporters. The budget promises some streamlining efforts, which are expected to mitigate the bureaucratic hurdles and delays often encountered in cross-border trade. While details are limited, any simplification could reduce compliance costs, speed up export times, and make UK goods more competitive abroad. The government also mentioned initiatives to help businesses navigate customs documentation, an area particularly valuable to SMEs less familiar with these processes .

4. Support for Key Sectors

Some sectors, such as technology, manufacturing, and green energy, were identified as priorities in this budget. By targeting resources toward these industries, the budget indirectly supports exporters by strengthening industries where the UK has competitive advantages globally. For example, initiatives to boost green technology align well with international demand for sustainable products, potentially helping UK firms secure more export opportunities in environmentally focused markets .


Potential Challenges for Exporters


1. Increased National Insurance Contributions (NIC)

The budget introduced a 1.2% increase in employer NIC, raising the rate to 15% from April 2025. This increase could put a strain on businesses already dealing with tight margins, especially those with labor-intensive production models. For exporters, higher payroll costs can impact pricing strategies and reduce competitiveness in foreign markets. Additionally, the NIC hike may discourage hiring in export-focused departments like logistics or international sales, which could hinder growth initiatives .

2. Limited Trade Facilitation in EU Relations

While the budget emphasized supporting exports, it was less clear on concrete steps to address Brexit-related trade challenges. Many UK exporters continue to face non-tariff barriers and increased regulatory hurdles when trading with EU countries. The budget did not introduce new measures to ease trade friction with the EU, such as further alignment on product standards or relaxed customs requirements. This lack of action on EU trade facilitation means that exporters targeting Europe may still encounter significant logistical and regulatory challenges .

3. Rising Costs from Inflation and Wage Hikes

The budget confirmed a 6.7% increase in the National Living Wage, taking it to £12.21 per hour in 2025. While this is beneficial for employees, it adds to the cost pressures exporters face, especially those in industries like manufacturing or agriculture that depend on large workforces. Additionally, inflation remains a concern, as rising input costs can erode profit margins and make UK goods less competitively priced in international markets. Exporters may find it difficult to absorb these costs, potentially forcing them to increase prices, which could reduce demand abroad .

4. Absence of Tax Relief Extensions for Exporters

Exporters were hoping for additional tax incentives or reliefs, particularly around Research and Development (R&D) and capital investment. However, the budget did not expand on existing tax breaks, meaning exporters might miss out on opportunities to offset their R&D expenses. For firms in innovative sectors where R&D is crucial, this could limit investment in new product development tailored to foreign markets, ultimately hampering growth potential in global markets.

5. Complex Regulatory Environment for Digital Exports

Digital exporters were met with the introduction of new reporting requirements as part of the OECD’s Cryptoasset Reporting Framework (CARF). While not yet in full effect, this measure adds complexity for exporters dealing with digital products and services. For businesses engaged in cross-border e-commerce or digital exports, compliance with the CARF regime could require additional administrative resources, especially if they are engaged in multiple jurisdictions with differing regulations .


Balancing Economic Growth and Fiscal Responsibility


Overall, the budget appears to strike a balance between fiscal tightening and economic support, which reflects the government’s broader goal of stabilizing public finances. However, for exporters, the budget’s measures offer limited direct support to navigate the complexities of international trade in the post-Brexit landscape. While programs like the Export Development Guarantee and Export Academy are welcome, they may not fully offset rising costs and the ongoing challenges of EU market access.


Concluding Thoughts

The 2024 UK budget provides some positive developments for exporters, such as enhanced financial support and customs simplifications, but also presents several hurdles. Rising costs from NIC increases, wage hikes, and inflation could strain exporters’ budgets and affect their pricing strategies. Additionally, a lack of new measures to address EU trade challenges could limit market access improvements for UK businesses targeting Europe.


In the coming years, exporters may need to adapt by exploring non-EU markets, investing in productivity improvements, or leveraging digital channels to reach international consumers more efficiently. The budget’s modest support may assist in these areas but may not be sufficient for exporters facing immediate cost pressures or navigating the post-Brexit trade environment. While the government’s approach offers targeted help, it also signals the need for exporters to continue innovating and diversifying to remain competitive in a challenging global market .


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